The code and data behind xeiaso.net
5
fork

Configure Feed

Select the types of activity you want to include in your feed.

talks/2024: add AI ethics talk

Signed-off-by: Xe Iaso <me@xeiaso.net>

Xe Iaso f84bfbd2 09507d34

+758
+4
lume/src/talks/2024/_data.yml
··· 1 + layout: talk.njk 2 + type: talk 3 + index: true 4 + year: 2024
+754
lume/src/talks/2024/prepare-unforeseen-consequences.mdx
··· 1 + --- 2 + title: "AI: the not-so-good parts" 3 + date: 2025-01-16 4 + tags: 5 + - ai 6 + - ethics 7 + - philosophy 8 + --- 9 + 10 + Hey, if you normally read the written form of my talks, I highly 11 + suggest watching or listening to the video for this one. The topic I'm 12 + covering is something I'm quite passionate about and I don't think 13 + that my tone is conveyed in text the same way it is in voice. If the 14 + version on XeDN doesn't load for you for whatever reason, please 15 + [contact me](/contact/) with the output of 16 + [cdn.xeiaso.net/cgi-cdn/wtf](https://cdn.xeiaso.net/cgi-cdn/wtf) and I 17 + will figure out what is wrong so I can fix it. 18 + 19 + You can find the YouTube version of this talk [here](https://youtu.be/EfAjITmLP50?feature=shared). 20 + 21 + <XeblogVideo path="talks/2024/ai-ethics" /> 22 + 23 + --- 24 + 25 + <XeblogSlide name="2024/ai-ethics/001" essential /> 26 + 27 + Hi, I'm Xe Iaso and before we get started, I want to start by talking 28 + about what this talk is and is not. This talk isn't going to be the 29 + kind of high signal AI research that I'd really love to be giving 30 + right now. This talk is about actions and consequences. 31 + 32 + <XeblogSlide name="2024/ai-ethics/002" essential /> 33 + 34 + What impacts will our projects have on the real world where people 35 + have to take objects like this and exchange them for food and shelter? 36 + 37 + I'm sorry to say that this talk is going to be a bit of a wet blanket. 38 + I'm so sorry for Yacine because all that stuff with local AI inference 39 + in browsers was really cool. And that dogfooding of 40 + [dingboard](https://dingboard.com/) for a presentation about how 41 + dingboard works was cool as hell. 42 + 43 + <XeblogSlide name="2024/ai-ethics/004" essential /> 44 + 45 + All the best things in life come with disclaimers, as I'm sure you 46 + know, and these words are my own. I'm not speaking on behalf of my 47 + employer, past employers, or if you're watching the recording and I've 48 + changed employers, any future employers. I am speaking for myself, not 49 + other people. 50 + 51 + Before we get into this, let's cover my background, some stuff about 52 + me, what I do, and all this AI stuff has benefited and harmed me 53 + personally. As Hai [the organizer of the AI meetup that asked me to 54 + speak there] mentioned, I'm a somewhat avid blogger. I've only got 55 + like 400 articles or something. I write for the love of writing and 56 + I've got like maybe four 3D printed save icons of text available on my 57 + blog for anyone to learn with any topic from like programming, 58 + spirituality, semiotics, AI, etc. My writing is loved by the developer 59 + community and it's the reason why I get hired. 60 + 61 + <XeblogSlide name="2024/ai-ethics/007" essential /> 62 + 63 + Regardless of anything I say in this talk, please make a blog, 64 + document what you've learned, document what works, document what 65 + fails, just get out there and write. You'll get good at it, just keep 66 + at it. This is genuine advice. 67 + 68 + <XeblogSlide name="2024/ai-ethics/008" essential /> 69 + 70 + However, as a reward for making my blog a high-quality thing, it's 71 + part of the ChatGPT training dataset. Somewhere in some data center, 72 + my blog's information is sitting there tokenized, waiting to get 73 + massaged into floating point weights by unfeeling automatons used to 74 + make unimaginable amounts of money that I will never see a penny of. 75 + This is the punishment I get for pouring the heart, soul and love into 76 + my craft as a blogger. 77 + 78 + I get turned into ChatGPT. 79 + 80 + <XeblogSlide name="2024/ai-ethics/009" essential /> 81 + 82 + Now in our system of law, things are generally lawful unless there's 83 + some law or precedent that says it's not. At the time of me speaking 84 + this, we aren't sure if training AI models on copyrighted 85 + data is fair use or not. The courts and lawmakers need to battle this 86 + out (if they'll be allowed to because there is a lot of money behind 87 + the AI industry right now). 88 + 89 + This is technology that is so new, it's making Bitcoin look like Stone 90 + Age, 8-bit computing back when you couldn't count above 255 without 91 + major hacks. 92 + 93 + <XeblogSlide name="2024/ai-ethics/010" essential /> 94 + 95 + And mind you, I'm just one blogger. I'm just one person. I don't have 96 + that big of a platform, all things considered. Sure in the genre of 97 + technology bloggers, I'm probably fairly high up there, but I'm not 98 + like front page on New York Times big. I'm just a person who likes 99 + talking about computers and how they should work. I'm just someone 100 + that gazed into the void too much and now people to pay me to gaze 101 + into the damn void. 102 + 103 + <XeblogSlide name="2024/ai-ethics/011" essential /> 104 + 105 + So how do we understand all this? 106 + 107 + How do we figure out how to peel back all the layers of terminology 108 + bullshit that keep us from having a clear understanding of what people 109 + are even saying? 110 + 111 + If we take all the drama and interplay involved in our society, we can 112 + boil it down to two basic things, actions and consequences. Actions 113 + are the things that we do and consequences are the things that result. 114 + 115 + So let's say you cut a tree down to make a fire, but that tree was 116 + used by animals to shelter them from the winter and now those animals 117 + have a harder time finding shelter in the winter. 118 + 119 + You take actions and something or someone else has to deal with the 120 + consequences. 121 + 122 + Most of the time our actions serve to make us better off and shield us 123 + from the consequences. We see this happen with that tree that got cut 124 + down. We will see this happen with ChatGPT and we will keep seeing 125 + this happen time immemorial as society keeps repeating. 126 + 127 + As exciting as all of this AI technology is, as a science fiction 128 + writer, I can't help but see the same actions and consequences and 129 + analyses for how we're using it today. 130 + 131 + <XeblogSlide name="2024/ai-ethics/016" essential /> 132 + 133 + Now your pitchforks can go down, I see you out there, you holding them 134 + up, I'm not trying to be a contrarian or decry AI as wrongthink. I've 135 + been using AI for my own stuff and I genuinely think that there's a 136 + lot of really exciting things here. 137 + 138 + I'm mostly worried about how the existing powers that be are going to 139 + use this surplus of cheap labor and have those actions have massive 140 + consequences on us all. 141 + 142 + <XeblogSlide name="2024/ai-ethics/017" essential /> 143 + 144 + One of the things I'm trying to get across here is not all "Capitalism 145 + bad! Let's get back the bread lines, baby!" There's plenty of places 146 + to see those arguments and I don't want this to be one of those. I 147 + more want to inspire you to see what the consequences of your actions 148 + with AI stuff could be so that we can make the world a more equitable 149 + place. 150 + 151 + Of course, this is made even more fun by the concept of unforeseen 152 + consequences or downstream consequences that you couldn't have 153 + possibly seen coming when you were experimenting with things. 154 + 155 + <XeblogSlide name="2024/ai-ethics/018" essential /> 156 + 157 + As an example, for a long time people thought swans were white. Swans 158 + became symbols of literary purity or something like that and it was so 159 + common that there was an English idiom of a black swan being an 160 + impossible thing. 161 + 162 + As this photo proves, swans can be black. 163 + 164 + And now the term "black swan event" describes something that should 165 + have been obvious in hindsight but something that we couldn't possibly 166 + have foreseen at the time. 167 + 168 + (Begin sarcastic tone) 169 + 170 + Just like that unmentionable-on-YouTube viral pandemic that happened a 171 + few years ago that our society will never really recover from! 172 + Scientists were warning us for years that we'd be totally screwed by a 173 + viral pandemic but no, we didn't take them seriously. 174 + 175 + (End sarcastic tone) 176 + 177 + <XeblogSlide name="2024/ai-ethics/020" essential /> 178 + 179 + Whenever anyone takes actions and there are consequences or impacts, 180 + you can usually model them as on yourself, your friends or the world 181 + at large. I haven't found a good way to model the impact risk of a 182 + given field very well, but I like triangles so I made this triangle 183 + called the impact triangle to show what all of the factors in the 184 + computer science industry are. 185 + 186 + In terms of access, anybody can become good at coding and start 187 + working at a company or creating a company to solve a problem that 188 + they have in their lives. I'm pretty sure that this basic thing, the 189 + computer industry is open access to anybody is basically why everybody 190 + in this room is here today. 191 + 192 + Personally, I'm a college dropout. 193 + 194 + Without the industry allowing just about anyone to walk in the door 195 + and start being successful, yeah, I'd still be in the Seattle area 196 + probably working minimum wage at a fast food place. I wouldn't be able 197 + to dream of immigrating to Canada and I probably would have never met 198 + my husband who is so thankfully recording this for me. 199 + 200 + There's also no professional certification or license required to 201 + practice computer science or software development or whatever we call 202 + ourselves now. And basically anybody off the street without 203 + certification can make an impact on the world scale if they get lucky. 204 + 205 + And then in terms of limits, our industry measures results in small 206 + units of times like individual financial quarters. In aggregate, our 207 + industry only cares about what we do to make the capitalism line go up 208 + for next quarter and there's no ethical or professional guidelines 209 + that prevent people from making bad things or even defining what good 210 + and bad is in the first place. In an ideal world, the thought is that 211 + the market should sort everything out and realistically, with the GDPR 212 + and the like, there are some laws that enable, that force people to 213 + comply but as long as you have good lawyers, you can get away with 214 + killing murder. 215 + 216 + For most other professions in the job market, our industry looks 217 + incredibly reckless. Like, accountants need to be licensed and pass 218 + certifications. If you want to call yourself a surgeon, you need to 219 + have surgery practice, you need to have a license in surgery, and you 220 + need to keep yourself up with the profession. 221 + 222 + We don't have such barriers to entry. 223 + 224 + As an example of this, consider Facebook. They have a billion users. 225 + That is nine significant figures, a billion with a B as in bat. When 226 + they made Facebook, the thought was that they could make everybody 227 + better by reducing the social distance and that could make everybody 228 + like happier and live more fulfilled lives. 229 + 230 + An unimaginable amount of photos, video and text posts are made to 231 + Facebook every day. Some measurable fraction of these violate 232 + Facebook's community guidelines and are full at the very least and are 233 + fully legal at the most. Many trivial cases can be handled by machine 234 + learning algorithms but there's always that bit that needs to be 235 + judged by a human. 236 + 237 + Speaking as a recovering IRC op, content moderation is impossible at 238 + small scales and the level of impossibility only grows as the number 239 + of people involved in a thing grows. I am fairly certain that it is 240 + like actually entirely impossible to moderate Facebook at this point 241 + because there's just too many people. You have to have some machine 242 + algorithm in there at some point and there are going to be things that 243 + the algorithm can't handle. 244 + 245 + So then you go and you use humans to rate that. 246 + 247 + You contract out a company who very wisely decides to subcontract that 248 + out because they don't have to deal with the fallout and finally it 249 + ends up on the desks of people that are tortured day and night by the 250 + things they are forced to witness to make rent. 251 + 252 + For the action of creating Facebook and all of the systems that let 253 + Mark Zuckerberg make a bunker on Hawaii, raise his own cattle, make 254 + his own beer, and smoke those meats, he doesn't have to see those 255 + images and things that the content moderators have to see. 256 + 257 + He just lays back and watches his bank account number go up and maybe 258 + does CEO things if he has to. 259 + 260 + The human cost is totally discounted from the equation because the 261 + only limit is what makes the capitalism line go up. The people doing 262 + the actions almost never see the consequences because the CEO of Uber 263 + never got his job replaced by an Uber driver. The CEO of Google never 264 + suffered the algorithm locking him out of his entire digital life for 265 + good with no way to get it all back. And the people doing the actions 266 + and making the decisions are not affected by any of the consequences, 267 + foreseen or unforeseen. 268 + 269 + The last time I spoke here, I spoke about a work of satire called 270 + [Automuse](/videos/2023/ai-hackathon/). Automuse is a tool that uses 271 + large language models to recreate the normal novel writing process 272 + using large language models and a good dose of stochastic randomness 273 + to make some amusing outputs. 274 + 275 + When I made it, I really just wanted to throw ink to the canvas to see 276 + what would happen, then write [a satirical scientific 277 + paper](https://cdn.xeiaso.net/file/christine-static/video/2023/ai-hackathon/automuse-2.pdf). 278 + 279 + <XeblogSlide name="2024/ai-ethics/031" essential /> 280 + 281 + To my horror, I won the hackathon with a shitpost about the publishing 282 + industry that was inspired my fear of what could happen if things like 283 + Automuse were more widespread. 284 + 285 + When I gave my talk at the hackathon, I had a five minute slot and 286 + there was something that I had on my script that I cut out as I was 287 + speaking. 288 + 289 + Not sure why I did, it just felt right at the time. 290 + 291 + The part that I left out was inspired by this quote from the 292 + philosopher SammyClassicSonicFan: 293 + 294 + <XeblogSlide name="2024/ai-ethics/033" essential /> 295 + 296 + When will you **learn**? 297 + When will you learn that your **actions** have **consequences**? 298 + 299 + I made Automuse precisely because I understand how impractical such a 300 + thing is. The output quality of Automuse will never compare to what a 301 + human can write no matter what large language model you throw at it. 302 + 303 + Okay, yes. I did my research, there's actually a rather large market 304 + for low quality pleasure reading that something like Automuse could 305 + fill. There's a surprisingly large number of people that enjoy reading 306 + formulaic things about good winning out over evil or old people 307 + reading romance novels to feel the passion of being young again or 308 + whatever. Not to mention doing something like that as a company would 309 + leave me an excellent moat because most AI companies want to focus on 310 + the high quality super output and here I am, the trash vendor going 311 + in, yeah, I'd basically be invincible. 312 + 313 + But I don't know if I could live with myself if I turned Automuse 314 + into a product. 315 + 316 + When I made Automuse, I knew that this was a potentially high impact 317 + thing, so I crippled it. 318 + 319 + I made it difficult for anyone to use, even me. 320 + 321 + I made it rely on a private NPM dependency that is on a server that 322 + only I have the API token to and it just so happens to be the thing 323 + that generates random plots. 324 + 325 + I also made it in a way that requires massive human intervention and 326 + filtering in order to get decent results and every so often I get a 327 + message from somebody that asks me: 328 + 329 + <BlockQuote>Hey, how can I set up Automuse on my stuff?</BlockQuote> 330 + 331 + And they're surprised when I quote them a five figure number to get 332 + them to go away. And some are even angry and curse me out because a 333 + person making open source software on the internet would want to be 334 + paid for their time. 335 + 336 + I can't understand that actually. 337 + 338 + But above all, the reason why I really don't want to productize it or 339 + make it available for mass consumption in any form is the problem of 340 + book spam. Automuse would make the problem of book spam worse. 341 + 342 + The Book Spam problem is where people upload nonsense to the Kindle 343 + store and make boatloads of money doing it. This problem has been 344 + accelerated by ChatGPT and is getting to the point where Amazon's book 345 + vending thing actually had to implement rate limits for uploading 346 + books. 347 + 348 + I don't think I could live with myself if I made and released an easy 349 + to use product that made that problem worse. 350 + 351 + It's bad enough that whenever I get around to finishing my novel 352 + Spellblade (I couldn't find the cover I commissioned, so I just put 353 + the name on the slide), I'm almost certainly just going to release it 354 + on itch.io or to my patrons for very cheap. In theory, the Kindle 355 + store would be the best place for that kind of high signal original 356 + fiction but I just don't want it to get flooded out in a wave of AI 357 + generated mushroom foraging books. 358 + 359 + I don't think that anyone at OpenAI anticipated that people would use 360 + ChatGPT to make the book spam problem worse. I have a friend that 361 + works there and generally from what I've seen, the research side of 362 + OpenAI really has their head screwed on the right way. 363 + 364 + The problem is the capitalism side of OpenAI getting that sweet, sweet 365 + return to an investment by making a product that nobody else can 366 + provide and then charging for the output. 367 + 368 + <XeblogSlide name="2024/ai-ethics/039" essential /> 369 + 370 + Above all, the part that really confuses me is why we're automating 371 + away art and writing instead of like snow blowing or something 372 + actually useful. There's a subtle part of me that's really concerned 373 + for the future of our industry and I really think we need to be aware 374 + of it before it all bites us and like getting rid of everybody that 375 + has aesthetic knowledge really seems like a bad idea for an industry 376 + that focuses so much on design. 377 + 378 + <XeblogSlide name="2024/ai-ethics/040" essential /> 379 + 380 + With the Industrial Revolution came factories. Factories allowed us to 381 + produce objects on scales like never before. Raw materials go in at 382 + one end, human labor goes in the middle, finished products come out 383 + the end. This has allowed us to become the kind of species we are 384 + today. You can circumnavigate the globe in 100 hours while playing a 385 + contrived game show about travel. You can head to an entirely 386 + different continent in like what, 12 hours and this has led us to 387 + discoveries that have made us healthier, lived longer lives and 388 + overall it's been a boon for the human race. 389 + 390 + <XeblogSlide name="2024/ai-ethics/041" essential /> 391 + 392 + However, this is a modern assembly line for cars. Look what you don't 393 + see here, people. All of those robot arms and the like represent jobs 394 + that were done by humans, operating the crane to lower the truck body 395 + onto the chassis, all of that stuff. With every new model year there's 396 + more automation at play and less room for human jobs. 397 + 398 + Sure, we can make more cars per hour but like every job that's not 399 + done by a human is another family that can't make rent. It's another 400 + child that can't grow up and you know actually cure cancer or 401 + something. And I just feel like it's another way for the ownership 402 + class to scrape more off the top. 403 + 404 + With that in mind, I want you to consider this: 405 + 406 + <XeblogSlide name="2024/ai-ethics/042" essential /> 407 + 408 + These are our factories, the open office environment. Instead of wool 409 + or wood or water as input, we have user stories, electricity and 410 + coffee. Many of the companies out there are really just assembly lines 411 + for code features or Kubernetes configurations. I think the ultimate 412 + dream of this lies in the idea of the T-shaped developer that I've 413 + seen many management people talk about when they're trying to 414 + reorganize their companies. 415 + 416 + <XeblogSlide name="2024/ai-ethics/043" essential /> 417 + 418 + The core idea of the T-shaped developer is that you have really good 419 + competency in one field and enough broad knowledge in other fields 420 + that you can basically be put anywhere in a project and be useful. 421 + This is why you see things like ephemeral teams or decrees from on 422 + high that thou must write in JavaScript for all things. 423 + 424 + And in theory, it makes it a lot easier to move people around and 425 + place them wherever the company needs in order to make the process 426 + more adaptable to the circumstances. Not to mention, if everyone's 427 + just a T-shaped developer, that makes it really easy to get people off 428 + of the street and into the job in days so you don't have to spend the 429 + months training them on how you messed up Jenkins this time. 430 + 431 + Ever notice that every job opportunity is only for senior roles? 432 + 433 + This is why. 434 + 435 + Usually by the time you convince companies to give you a title that 436 + starts with the word "Senior", you've already been molded into a 437 + T-shaped engineer and you can slot in just about anywhere. 438 + 439 + This is our assembly line, created in the fear that if we don't do 440 + this, the wrong line will trend in the wrong way and investors won't 441 + give us as much money as freely. 442 + 443 + Like, okay, I realize I'm doing some doom and gloom stuff here. 444 + 445 + It's probably going to be a while until AI is actually able to replace 446 + our jobs. Right now, there isn't a magic button that product teams can 447 + use to "just implement that feature" based on the textual description. 448 + That's probably a long ways off and it'll probably require a different 449 + fundamental architecture than attention window transformer models. 450 + 451 + But with that in mind, there's a segment of people that already have 452 + the magic "just implement it" button today: 453 + 454 + Artists. 455 + 456 + Stable diffusion, mid-journey, and Dall-E 3 have gotten to the point 457 + where the output is not just good. 458 + 459 + It's good enough. 460 + 461 + For the vast majority of people, as long as there's nothing obviously 462 + wrong with the hands, you won't be able to tell an image that is AI 463 + generated. 464 + 465 + However, artists can tell instantly when you have an AI generated 466 + illustration. 467 + 468 + <XeblogSlide name="2024/ai-ethics/049" essential /> 469 + 470 + Just look at this one I used earlier in this talk. It's so bad. Look 471 + at the stem on that flower. That is not how stems work. The brush at 472 + the bottom is just blending into the easel in ways that physically 473 + separate objects don't work. The flower that the robot is holding is 474 + inconsistent. It looks like the light is coming from both forward and 475 + backward at the same time. The antennae are melting into the shoulders 476 + of the robot. 477 + 478 + It's totally passable at first glance. 479 + 480 + I'm pretty sure that before I mentioned all those stuff and put all 481 + the arrows on the slide, you wouldn't have seen any of it. But when 482 + you start critically analyzing it, it just falls to pieces. 483 + 484 + I guess the better question here is why would you want to use an AI 485 + generated image for something? 486 + 487 + One of the big places you want to use an AI image is for the cover 488 + image on your blog post because we've come to expect that blog posts 489 + need cover images for some reason. 490 + 491 + There's more desire for people to have cheap filler art that meets a 492 + certain criteria than there are artists willing to work for 493 + unrealistically low prices with incredibly quick turnaround times. Art 494 + is everywhere and yet it's commoditized so much that it's worthless in 495 + a day and age where rent and food prices keep going up. 496 + 497 + So we end up with something like this: 498 + 499 + <XeblogSlide name="2024/ai-ethics/051" essential /> 500 + 501 + You get an AI generated of assembly line of robots painting flowers. 502 + 503 + This is really why I didn't want to develop Automuse into a company. I 504 + just fear that action would have too many consequences and my friends 505 + and fellow artists would suffer. This is why I did so much detailed 506 + math about how much it would cost per word, how the quality would be 507 + seen in the market, and what impact such a technology would have if it 508 + churned out hundreds of books per hour. 509 + 510 + Outside of the systems we live in, yeah, this AI stuff is great. It's 511 + fantastic tech that allows us to do any number of things we couldn't 512 + do before. 513 + 514 + But inside the systems we live in, I can't say the help, let's see 515 + this is yet another way that human labor is being displaced without a 516 + good replacement. 517 + 518 + And we wonder why we can't call ourselves engineers in Ontario. Do we 519 + really engineer anything or are we just making the line go up? 520 + 521 + When will we learn that our actions have consequences? 522 + 523 + Until then I guess we need to prepare for unforeseen consequences. 524 + 525 + Thank you all for watching this and I hope it gives you some things to 526 + think about. I hope I didn't break too many taboos about the industry 527 + in the process but who am I kidding? I just broke all of them. 528 + 529 + <XeblogSlide name="2024/ai-ethics/061" essential /> 530 + 531 + Thanks to everyone on this list for inspiring me to take action and 532 + pushing towards the presentation I gave tonight. Special thanks to 533 + Mystes and Layl for really grinding hard into this, ripping in half 534 + and telling me where I'm full of shit. Extra special thanks to my 535 + husband for recording this for me and thank you for watching. 536 + 537 + <XeblogSlide name="2024/ai-ethics/062" essential /> 538 + 539 + I recognize that this is like really a heavy talk. It'll probably take 540 + you some time to surface some good questions about it but if you 541 + happen to have them right now please feel free to ask. I will be happy 542 + to answer but if it takes you a while to come up with it just email 543 + [unforeseenconsequences@xeserv.us](mailto:unforeseenconsequences@xeserv.us). 544 + It'll get to my inbox and I promise you I will reply. Have a good 545 + evening and does anyone have any questions? 546 + 547 + ## Q&A 548 + 549 + <BlockQuote>What was the sigil you displayed at the beginning of your 550 + talk?</BlockQuote> 551 + 552 + That was the sigil of Baphomet, one of the names for Satan as 553 + celebrated in Satanism. 554 + 555 + <BlockQuote>Do you see a future where AI technology can equitably help 556 + humanity thrive?</BlockQuote> 557 + 558 + I do see a future where it can be used to benefit us all. The problem 559 + is the intersection of what could be, what is, and the tools in the 560 + process where you get the real interesting stuff and there's probably 561 + at least five good sci-fi novels you could write about this. 562 + 563 + You could write a really compelling one about just what happened with 564 + OpenAI and especially what's happened with the e/acc people. I wrote 565 + the plot outline for a bad science fiction novel about the madness 566 + that is e/acc. 567 + 568 + <BlockQuote>What do you think we should do about this 569 + problem?</BlockQuote> 570 + 571 + Just be aware that your actions don't exist in a vacuum. 572 + 573 + If you build something that could replace jobs, then you need to be 574 + cognizant of the people that you're going to make unable to pay rent 575 + because if you make something that replaces knowledge work labor, you 576 + price them out of being able to eat. When people aren't able to afford 577 + to eat, they especially can't afford to retrain themselves to work in 578 + another industry that hasn't been taken over by infinite cheap labor. 579 + 580 + <BlockQuote> 581 + First, thank you very much for the presentation. I'm not debating 582 + here. I'm very open for these type of discussions, but you show the 583 + industrial revolution and the next slide was all the people who were 584 + impoverished. I don't see it as a linear change though, so industrial 585 + revolution and all those workers working in those situations by itself 586 + was not a necessary, better situation than those workers in those 587 + dangerous situations being replaced by robots on the other side. As we 588 + move on, we never had any occasions that we needed to get rid of a 589 + bunch of populations because we didn't have jobs for them, but we 590 + eventually came up with solutions, new jobs, some sort of a solution. 591 + So the main question is how do you see that change exactly from 592 + industrial revolution to industrial revolution? 593 + </BlockQuote> 594 + 595 + At some level, this stuff is going to happen regardless, and if it's 596 + going to happen, there should be some societal support mechanism, like 597 + universal basic income (which no matter what study is made to prove it 598 + doesn't work, actually does work) to replace the income that we're 599 + losing to machines taking over jobs that were previously done by 600 + humans. Something like universal basic income would probably help a 601 + lot here, but I don't know. 602 + 603 + I don't have any solutions. 604 + 605 + I'm more trying to blow the whistle that there's a problem before it 606 + gets bad enough that things become irreparable. 607 + 608 + <BlockQuote> 609 + All right, I'd like to commend you first on your courage to do this. 610 + It's obviously difficult to come into a room and say the opposite. At 611 + the same time, I'll give you the opposite and the pit that was out of 612 + the pit. You know, one of the things that, to act your way a little 613 + bit, automation is known to increase the standard of living. So we 614 + have all great things we can do because of automation. So AI is 615 + automation's superpower. Now to say there's no consequences of AI 616 + being abused, there definitely will be, but looking at the greater 617 + impact of it all, and I think that's the reason we're at all here, is 618 + because we know that they're [unintelligible], but truly down, we know 619 + that bringing abundance to the world is far greater and needs to be 620 + substantial in that event. 621 + </BlockQuote> 622 + 623 + I mean, yes, congratulations. You actually got the point of the talk. 624 + The point of the talk is to get you to think critically about what 625 + these tools are, what's going on, and what the benefits could be as 626 + well as what the downsides could be. I just don't know if our current 627 + system of distributing wealth and resources is really going to be able 628 + to adapt to that in time without some major cataclysm forcing the 629 + measure. 630 + 631 + <BlockQuote> 632 + I just wanted to ask you. 633 + You said you're not sure if this system of wealth distribution is the 634 + right system that should be, you know, that should have this kind of 635 + AI in place for moving forward. So what kind of system do you think is 636 + more practical for that? 637 + </BlockQuote> 638 + 639 + 640 + So I think one of the more ideal outcomes would be if people that 641 + whose work is in the training set of ChatGPT end up getting royalties 642 + from OpenAI for their data being used to make unimaginable amounts of 643 + money. 644 + 645 + Like, I have been transformed into ChatGPT. I can't go back to college 646 + because all of my writing comes back as flagged by AI because I've 647 + written so much and it's in so many different data sets that it just 648 + keeps getting flagged as AI generated. 649 + 650 + And like, yeah, we all know the AI generation plagiarism checkers are 651 + bullshit and people shouldn't use them yet the colleges do for some 652 + reason. 653 + 654 + So like, what can you do? 655 + 656 + Really the best possible way to get equity here would be to basically 657 + make it so that if you research AI with copyrighted materials, that's 658 + fine. But when it comes to putting the money generator in the mix, 659 + hold up, maybe you actually need to pay royalties because those blog 660 + posts and the like, they don't just come out of nowhere for free. 661 + Like, you know, you have to train to be an artist. Like, this photo of 662 + this log that I got off of Pexels, a public domain image stock image 663 + sit, you have to have some like skill in photography to know the rule 664 + of thirds and you know, like be able to configure your camera to 665 + capture the exact moment of this log falling like this. There are 666 + actual skills that don't look like skills that still require a lot of 667 + time, energy, and frankly, remuneration to compensate for. 668 + 669 + I think one of the best ways would be to make the concept of an open 670 + source model that is only just the weights without any of the training 671 + data or any of the training methodology involved an unterm. 672 + 673 + Like, that is not open source, that is open access. Open source would 674 + be providing all of the code you used for training, all of the data 675 + that you used for training, and a summary of where you got the data 676 + from. 677 + 678 + That would be closer to what open source actually is and anything 679 + close to the definition of open source back when the GPL was the 680 + dominant definition of open source. 681 + 682 + Generally open source AI stuff is really cool. There's a lot of stuff 683 + you can do with it. I'm just really concerned about the intersection 684 + between that and, you know, the capitalism system that we're all 685 + forced to live under. 686 + 687 + <BlockQuote>How do we combat abuse or data that isn't labeled as AI 688 + generated? Are we in the death of the Information Age because of 689 + this?</BlockQuote> 690 + 691 + Oh. I have no idea. 692 + 693 + On my blog I've been tracking AI-generated content farms and the tools 694 + that they use to do it because it's kind of horrifying how easy it is 695 + to get ChatGPT to hallucinate something about how to make soap with 696 + radishes. 697 + 698 + By the way, don't do that. It'll kill you. It will actually kill you 699 + dead. Do not do that. No, I'm actually serious here. 700 + 701 + The worst part is how this intersects with content farms, those random 702 + websites you find on Google with negative amounts of information and 703 + ads everywhere. I've already seen ChatGPT make that problem worse. 704 + 705 + Hell, there was this SEO heist a while ago where this person basically 706 + fed Google Trends results into ChatGPT, SEO heisted by rewriting their 707 + competitor's website entirely from scratch and stole all their traffic 708 + and made a whole bunch of ad money contributing nothing to society. 709 + 710 + I don't really know how this is all going to work out, but I really 711 + hope we're not in the death of the information age because that's what 712 + pays my bills. But if things keep going the way they're going, I can't 713 + help but agree that we may be on the decline of everything getting 714 + drowned in pages of trivia and celebrity bullshit. 715 + 716 + <BlockQuote> 717 + Thanks for talking. You see that, you know, that the technology 718 + naturally democratizes people's access to information. Won't more 719 + access to information make things better for everyone? 720 + </BlockQuote> 721 + 722 + I'm very glad that inference is getting so much cheaper, like, hell, 723 + this MacBook right here (I would lift it up, but it's hooked up via 724 + USB and I don't want to disconnect it). It can run Mixtral [a model 725 + considered roughly equivalent to GPT-3.5, the model used for ChatGPT] 726 + and it's just a random MacBook off the shelf. 727 + Looking back, I kind of regret not getting as much RAM because I 728 + didn't think I would be doing all this, but, you know, c'est la vie 729 + [Canadian idiom meaning "that's life"]. 730 + 731 + I have been thinking about doing an experiment of using Q-LoRA to 732 + train the ultimate recommendation engine based off of posts that I've 733 + either commented on or upvoted on Hacker News and using that as input 734 + with the classification of like or dislike. And because I downvote or 735 + flag a fair number of posts there, I can use that to create a somewhat 736 + rough aggregate of things that I would be interested in. And that 737 + would be something that I see could be a really interesting 738 + application of all this. 739 + 740 + Like I said, though, the open source AI stuff is really cool, but the 741 + intersection between that and the system and the powers that be today, 742 + I don't know how that's going to happen and I'm just afraid that it 743 + won't end up good for all of us. 744 + 745 + But thank you for all the questions. I am really happy that I was able 746 + to get you to be engaged with this topic and really start thinking 747 + because I don't know what's going to happen either. 748 + 749 + Thank you so much. Good night all! Drive home safely! The roads are 750 + wild. 751 + 752 + 753 + 754 +