···2233- The data team needs to be focus on delivering insights and supporting decisions. The outcome of the data team are *decisions* and a *shared context across the organization* that makes coordination easier.
44 - Your goal as a data professional is to facilitate [[Making Decisions|decision making]] and [help surface/investigate the performance of a business](https://sqlpatterns.com/p/delivering-value-as-a-data-team) (e.g. [operational](https://twitter.com/ergestx/status/1731324299590479989)).
55- - Learning to drive decisions quickly, a bias to action, is a critical competency for an analyst. Every skill you learn – [[communication]], [[writing]], [[experimentation]], [[Metrics|metric design]] – supports this.
55+ - Learning to drive decisions quickly, a bias to action, is a critical competency for an analyst. Every skill you learn – [[communication]], [[writing]], [[experimentation]], [[Metrics|metric design]] – supports this.
66 - [If analysis is not actionable, it does not really matter](https://twitter.com/decisionleader/status/1661041373783441408). Analysis must drive to action. [Clear results won't spur action themselves](https://www.linkedin.com/posts/eric-weber-060397b7_data-analytics-machinelearning-activity-6675746028144205824-CQxW/). The organization needs to be ready to pivot when something isn't working.
77 - [Data doesn't make decisions, people do](https://twitter.com/teej_m/status/1765475939084029956).
88- [Data's impact is tough to measure — it doesn't always translate to value](https://dfrieds.com/articles/data-science-reality-vs-expectations.html)
···121121 - You know where it is.
122122 - You know how to translate that question to a data question.
123123 - You know how to answer that data question by converting the data that exists into an answer.
124124- - You're aware of the the quirks in the data.
124124+ - You're aware of the quirks in the data.
125125- [Differentiate analytics from data platform work. They are two different jobs, and expecting one to do the work of the other is a trap](https://twitter.com/jamesdensmore/status/1518998298111225857).
126126 - Data Platform: data infra, pipelines, and a bit of data warehouse modeling
127127 - Analytics: Making sense of data to guide decisions
128128-- Make your [modeling technique](hhttps://web.archive.org/web/20230925091656/https://data-columns.hightouch.io/untitled-2/) explicit.
128128+- Make your [modeling technique](https://web.archive.org/web/20230925091656/https://data-columns.hightouch.io/untitled-2/) explicit.
129129- Have a documentation [entry-point for Data](https://github.com/mozilla/data-docs).
130130- [For self-serve, aim to own as little as possible but keep in mind you can't make people do what you want but can stop them for doing what you don't want](https://youtu.be/wyW6hQGZxgY)
131131 - [You need to make a grocery store. You can't give folks directions to the farm to pick their own produce](https://twitter.com/teej_m/status/1603205457992044545).
132132- It's easy to lie with statistics, but it's hard to tell the truth without them.
133133 - On the other hand, good science doesn't need statistics, you can just look at the scatterplot.
134134-- Most people approach data with an "optimisation worldview", thinking in terms of "make number go up". There is an alternative. The Process Control worldview, which is similar to"Here is a process. Your job is to discover all the control factors that affect this process.".
134134+- Most people approach data with an "optimisation worldview", thinking in terms of "make number go up". There is an alternative. The Process Control worldview, which is similar to "Here is a process. Your job is to discover all the control factors that affect this process.".
135135 - Your job is to figure out what you can control that affects the process, and then systematically pursue that.
136136 - You can discover these control factors through one of two ways:
137137 - [[Experimentation]]
+1-1
Decentralized Protocols.md
···44 - On the internet, the main protocols take care of communications (HTTPS, SSH, ...) and apps are built on top. These apps and services store our data in silos. These protocols are necessary but not valuable. Value is captured by the apps.
55 - A great example of a modern open source protocol is [[IPFS]].
66 - Fat protocols contain the data. With open protocols and decentralized data ([[Decentralized Web]]), apps are only the frontend of the services.
77-- [Protocol and Open Source Funding](https://youtu.be/few99D5WnRg?list=WL). It'll add to the current ways to to fund open source projects:
77+- [Protocol and Open Source Funding](https://youtu.be/few99D5WnRg?list=WL). It'll add to the current ways to fund open source projects:
88 - Consulting: open source the code, sell consulting.
99 - Cloud: open source some code, but sell a closed source cloud complement.
1010 - [Community](https://mobile.twitter.com/balajis/status/1310101055816921090): open source all code, and issue a token or charge for access to the community.
+1-1
Design Docs.md
···3636 - Set expectations around opportunities for feedback, improvement, or participation, if any.
3737 - Explain the state of the decision (e.g., final, proposed), and when it will be revisited, if ever.
3838 - Distill meeting recordings and chat transcripts to create a concise and easily consumed historic record.
3939- - Avoid using “best practice”, “industry standard”, or “parent company/former employer does X” as a justification.
3939+ - Avoid using "best practice", "industry standard", or "parent company/former employer does X" as a justification.
4040 - Establish clear timelines and provide regular updates to avoid the perception that lack of visibility is lack of movement.
41414242## Resources
+1-1
Dogs.md
···4545- Have treats everywhere so you have quick access to them.
4646- You can use toys and small play sessions as a food reward alternative.
4747- Use jackpots when they do something perfectly!
4848-- Teach it to stay at open doors for 5 seconds so they wont stomp out of your house.
4848+- Teach it to stay at open doors for 5 seconds so they won't stomp out of your house.
4949- Train after a good exercise session. They'll learn quicker.
5050- [Set up and reinforce calm behaviors](https://www.reddit.com/r/Dogtraining/wiki/calm) in any situation.
5151- Make what they want contingent on what you want them to do first. For example, checking out another dog after looking at you.
+1-1
Governance.md
···4455- There is an idea that governance — public or corporate — [is driven by the self-interested effort of leaders to acquire and keep their power](https://fs.blog/the-dictators-handbook/).
66- [Governance means conflict](https://twitter.com/armaniferrante/status/1450878886535839745). It also means resolution. Accept the former, focus on the latter, via transparency.
77-- [There is still much room there is to try different things around Governance](https://www.cold-takes.com/ideal-governance-for-companies-countries-and-more/).
77+- [There is still much room to try different things around Governance](https://www.cold-takes.com/ideal-governance-for-companies-countries-and-more/).
8899## Resources
1010
+1-1
Nutrition.md
···24242525- [Examine.com](https://examine.com/) - Nutrition and Supplement Articles.
2626- [Eat This Much](https://www.eatthismuch.com/) - Create personalized meal plans based on your food preferences, budget, and schedule.
2727-- [Budget Bytes](https://www.budgetbytes.com/)- Spend less and enjoy more.
2727+- [Budget Bytes](https://www.budgetbytes.com/) - Spend less and enjoy more.
+1-1
Openness.md
···55- Share your decisions, state, and ideas early so flaws arise earlier in the process.
66- Keep your [[Identity]] small.
77- Your job isn't to enforce your vision of the world upon everyone. Live your own life the way you want to live it and let other people live their own lives the way they want to live them.
88- - [Don't yell at people who are trying to go off and do their own thing quietly with a group of voluntarily consenting friends](https://slatestarcodex.com/2014/06/07/archipelago-and-atomic-communitarianism). If people want to go do their own thing in a way that harms no one else, you _let_ them.
88+ - [Don't yell at people who are trying to go off and do their own thing quietly with a group of voluntarily consenting friends](https://slatestarcodex.com/2014/06/07/archipelago-and-atomic-communitarianism). If people want to go do their own thing in a way that harms no one else, you _let_ them.
99 - Don't criticize some [group of people doing their own thing without harming anyone](https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/more-antifragile-diversity-libertarianism) or try to browbeat them into doing the same thing as everyone else. That group might be just a tiny bit of [[slack]] away from creating something amazing!
1010 - Pick a belief you hold strongly and attempt an ideological Turing Test (defend the opposite as someone that really believes it so good no one can distinguish you from them).
1111- Communicate any uncertainty you may feel about the relevance of your own opinions.
+5-6
Thinking.md
···66- For each subject you think you know, ask the following questions:
77 - How could I be wrong about this? [In general, be less sure about what you know than intuition implies](https://www.lesswrong.com/tag/epistemic-modesty).
88 - What evidence would convince me I'm wrong?
99- - We use the same term - “[no evidence](https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/the-phrase-no-evidence-is-a-red-flag)” - to mean:
99+ - We use the same term - "no evidence" - to mean:
1010 - This thing is super plausible, and honestly very likely true, but we haven't checked yet, so we can't be sure.
1111 - We have hard-and-fast evidence that this is false, stop repeating this easily debunked lie.
1212- Be [specific](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/XosKB3mkvmXMZ3fBQ/specificity-your-brain-s-superpower). Ask yourself the question, "What's an example of that?" Or more bluntly, "Can I be more specific?"
···1717 - Many beliefs are held because there is a social and tribal benefit to holding them, not necessarily because they're true.
1818 - A great way to do that is to [bet on everything](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/ybYBCK9D7MZCcdArB/how-to-measure-anything) where you can or will find out the answer. Even if you're only testing yourself against one other person, it's a way of calibrating yourself to avoid both overconfidence and under-confidence, which will serve you in good stead emotionally when you try to do [[Fallacies|inadequacy reasoning]]. It'll also force you to do falsifiable predictions.
1919 - A tool to assign a percentage to a belief is [the equivalent bet test](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/EtxTDPMXrbmpheiAt/how-the-equivalent-bet-test-actually-works).
2020-- Instead of thinking "I'm sure X is fake!", try to think in terms of probabilities. E.g: I think there's a 90% chance X is fake. Instead of thinking in terms of changing your mind, think in terms of updating your probabilities. [This mindset](https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/book-review-the-scout-mindset) makes it easier to remember that it's not a question of winning or losing, but a question of being as accurate as possible. “Probability update” is less emotionally devastating than "I said X, but actually ~X, so I was wrong").
2020+- Instead of thinking "I'm sure X is fake!", try to think in terms of probabilities. E.g: I think there's a 90% chance X is fake. Instead of thinking in terms of changing your mind, think in terms of updating your probabilities. [This mindset](https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/book-review-the-scout-mindset) makes it easier to remember that it's not a question of winning or losing, but a question of being as accurate as possible. "Probability update" is less emotionally devastating than "I said X, but actually ~X, so I was wrong").
2121- You can try things to find out which ideas are right or wrong. It requires asking "What else would be true if this thing were true?" or "What would be different depending on whether X versus Y were true?".
2222- Knowledge decays. Things you learned in the past might not be true nowadays (_status of Pluto as a planet, dinosaurs with feathers, number of people living, ..._). [Facts decay over time until they are no longer facts or perhaps no longer complete](https://fs.blog/2018/03/half-life/).
2323- Don't fully trust Science (or History) as is not perfect. Studies are based on incorrect assumptions (from other studies), might have experimental issues, or might be manipulated by external factors (e.g: tobacco companies paying for studies).
···3131- You need a view of both the micro and the macro, the forest and the trees — and how both perspectives slot together.
3232- Local Validity: Some argument steps are allowed steps and some argument steps aren't ([Non-Central Fallacy](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/yCWPkLi8wJvewPbEp/the-noncentral-fallacy-the-worst-argument-in-the-world)), independently of whether they arrive at an answer you agree with.
3333- People can fool you by saying they saw things that they didn't see, telling you some things they know but not others or by using flawed steps when drawing conclusions. When you try to make an argument come out with a particular answer, you can fool yourself in the same way.
3434-- Assume good faith. Trust the other person to be believing things that make sense to them, which you'd have ended up believing if you were exposed to the same stimuli, and that they are generally trying to find the the truth.
3434+- Assume good faith. Trust the other person to be believing things that make sense to them, which you'd have ended up believing if you were exposed to the same stimuli, and that they are generally trying to find the truth.
3535- When you see something odd or something that doesn't fit with what you'd ordinarily expect, notice and promote it to conscious.
3636- [Notice when your mind is flinching away from a thought and flag that area as requiring more deliberate exploration](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/ttGbpJQ8shBi8hDhh/checklist-of-rationality-habits).
3737- [Notice](https://agentyduck.blogspot.com/2014/12/how-to-train-noticing.html) your internal state (cognitive and emotional).
···5454- Do your philosophical thinking in advance ([cached thoughts](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/2MD3NMLBPCqPfnfre/cached-thoughts)), so you can concentrate on explaining well. Above all, practice staying within the one-inferential-step bound.
5555 - [Think for yourself about "wise" or important or emotionally fraught topics](https://www.lesserwrong.com/posts/aSQy7yHj6nPD44RNo/how-to-seem-and-be-deep) rather than letting your brain complete the pattern. If you don't stop at the first answer, and cast out replies that seem vaguely unsatisfactory, in time your thoughts will form a coherent whole, flowing from the single source of yourself, rather than being fragmentary repetitions of other people's conclusions.
5656 - Sometimes inferential distances can be very far apart. You need [willingness to entertain and explore ideas before deciding that they are wrong](https://slatestarcodex.com/2020/05/12/studies-on-slack/). The other person might be on a self-consistent equilibria (someone christian, creationism, ...) and only changing one view of the world wouldn't work. You have to convince them for all the views. [A clear argument has to lay out an inferential pathway, starting from what the audience already knows or accepts](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/HLqWn5LASfhhArZ7w/expecting-short-inferential-distances). Same applies when working with a group or even for you! _Change your mind a little at a time_.
5757- - You cant reason someone out of a notion that they didn't reason themselves into.
5757+ - You can't reason someone out of a notion that they didn't reason themselves into.
5858- There's a distinction between tacit knowledge and explicit knowledge:
5959 - Tacit knowledge is like the knowledge that you use to ride a bicycle—it's complex, experiential, intuitive, hard to put into words. There is knowledge experts have, but cannot explain or write down.
6060 - Explicit knowledge is clear and concrete and transferable and (at least somewhat) objectively verifiable. How you ride a bicycle is tacit, but the fact that you can ride a bicycle is explicit. It's a binary fact that can be completely and compactly transferred through words, and that is verifiable through experiment.
···8585- [Rationality Checklist](https://www.rationality.org/resources/rationality-checklist) - [[Checklist]] for personal use, so you can have a wish-list of rationality [[Habits]] and see if you're acquiring good habits.
8686- [Kialo](https://www.kialo.com/) - Tool to explore debates.
8787- [Arguman](https://arguman.org/) - An argument analysis platform.
8888-- [Guesstimate](https://www.getguesstimate.com/) - A spreadsheet for things
8888+- [Guesstimate](https://www.getguesstimate.com/) - A spreadsheet for things that aren't certain.
8989- [Metaculus](https://www.metaculus.com/) - Community dedicated to generating accurate predictions about future real-world events by aggregating the collective wisdom, insight, and intelligence of its participants.
9090-that aren't certain.
9190- [Rationality skill tree](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/wccxMtZdEvHzLRNTZ/a-practice-of-rationality-sequence?commentId=BFaNYCKd3oQqQoZpH).
9291- [Center For Applied Rationality Handbook](https://rationality.org/files/CFAR_Handbook_2021-01.pdf)